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By John Engel I baked bread today, and it was a failure. I followed the recipe, used all the right ingredients, and still, the loaf collapsed. Housing, too, can fail despite having all the right ingredients. Most new homes are built speculatively, based on yesterday’s tastes, with some imagined buyer

By John Engel Now that it’s September, we in Connecticut inevitably turn our eyes toward New York. It’s a season of rivalries, and while the Yankees and Red Sox may dominate the headlines, the deeper rivalry has always been with New York itself. Just as baseball loyalties run hot in

By John Engel “According to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, U.S. home prices continued to decelerate in May 2025, recording a 2.3% year-over-year gain. The 10-City Composite Index rose 3.4% y/y, while the 20-City Composite rose 2.8%. Among the 20 cities tracked, New York led with a

By John Engel As co-host of Boroughs & Burbs, a weekly real estate show with over one million YouTube views, I’ve spent five years tracking the high-end property markets that matter: Aspen, Palm Beach, Hilton Head, Marbella, Dubai. Co-host Roberto Cabrera and I also bring in experts: architects, economists, designers,

By Deke Rothfuss The  passage of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” (OBBB) through the U.S. Senate on July 1 and the House on July 3 and its signing into law by President Trump on July 4 has ignited a wave of emotions across the United States. Individuals and corporations alike

By John Engel Twice this week, builders have asked me, “Why isn’t my new house selling?” It’s painful and expensive. With monthly carrying costs around $25,000, mistakes get expensive fast. I’ve written plenty about buyer psychology, staging, showing strategy, copy that sells, and the role of photography. Houses don’t sell

By John Engel To cut through month-to-month noise, I looked at rolling 3-month data on median sales prices, supply, and closed sales. Prices All four towns — New Canaan, Darien, Westport, and Wilton — saw strong price increases through the first half of 2025. New Canaan and Darien both posted

By John Engel Why do some houses sell in a weekend while others linger? It’s not interest rates or inventory. It’s about pulling the right lever, and we only have three: Price, Presentation, and Time.  Sellers often justify prices with what they’ve spent or point to unsold neighbors, but the

By John Engel A friend sold his business and set out to do everything he’d dreamed of. He did it all. Then one April morning, walking off the golf course, he checked his scorecard: 40 rounds — and it wasn’t even May. He said, “I’m going back to work.” Not

By John Engel White dominates — in cars (27.6%), kitchens (43%), and siding (34%). And in New Canaan, Darien, Westport, Rowayton and Greenwich — where the 2025 median home price is over $2 million — a 0.61% problem, like Zillow’s sale-price loss for white bathrooms, means $12,200. So why do

By John Engel As a Planning & Zoning commissioner, I sit through every application. As a Realtor, I walk clients through the results. That gives me a front-row seat to how housing policy plays out — not in theory, but on the streets of New Canaan. From mixed-use conversions to

By John Engel “Daddy, tell me a story.” “Okay, it was December 1990, and First Infantry was—” “No, Daddy, not that kind. I mean one of your real estate stories. With a little economic theory, some obscure historical reference, maybe a personal anecdote. Like the ones you write for the

By John Engel The phrase “a game of inches” has its roots in sports, particularly football, and has evolved into a metaphor for high-stakes situations where small differences determine success or failure, whether in sports, real estate, leadership, or life. The phrase was immortalized by Al Pacino’s electrifying locker room

By John Engel “How’s the market?” It’s the question I get asked most often. Sometimes I reach for data—graphs that show trends over time. I might point out that prices are above the highs of 2007. But that kind of information, while factual, often lacks meaning. It’s like saying the

By John Engel Ryan Serhant says he won’t stop until he’s #1 in the world. The real estate agent turned star of the #3 Netflix show, Selling New York, says his drive to be the best demands every minute of his day be scheduled and monetized, what he calls the

By John Engel “How can we help our children buy their first home?”  It’s a question people my age are asking. Generation X and Baby Boomers are long real estate, with second and even third homes, and we have (multiple) children of child-bearing years who now need help with the

By John Engel Sun Tzu said, “Know your audience,” and I’m writing for homeowners. My readers own their homes, sometimes several, and are expert at solving life’s problems. What real estate advice can I possibly offer? This is Part One: Winning. Next week is Part Two: Giving It to Your

By John Engel A graph of the last ten years of home sales in New Canaan shows 3,262 sales, 326 in a “normal” year, 4.38% of the roughly 7,434 housing units. By the standards of the last 50 years, 4.3% is the average turnover. In the last decade, the low

By John Engel Global Shocks, Local Spin Ray Dalio doesn’t forecast downturns; he forecasts breakdowns. “We’re not just heading for a recession,” he said. “We’re witnessing the slow unraveling of the old world order.” What he means: U.S. debt is unsustainable, trust in the dollar is eroding, internal conflict is

By John Engel What is a smart home? If “smart” means convenience, efficiency, security, and comfort, let’s start with something dumb: the closets, often overlooked. The smartest, most efficient closet I ever saw was Tommy Hilfiger’s in Greenwich back in 2009. I saw only a few white shirts. I thought,

By John Engel 60% of all sales are occurring above list price. Last month, I gave examples of 20 bidding wars where houses traded for 120% of their asking price.  A good buyers’ agent provides value when asked what is a house worth, and what will it take to get

By John Engel 1. How has New Canaan’s inventory changed in February 2025 compared to 2024? New Canaan’s inventory fell from 68 homes in February 2024 to 50 in 2025, a 26.5% drop. Darien declined 21.4% to 22 homes, Westport fell 10.2% to 79, Wilton stayed flat at 34, Stamford

By John Engel Last week, I wrote about the resurgence of “pocket listings” — a practice that favors secrecy over transparency. Agents, like hostage negotiators and press secretaries, believe controlling the flow of information makes us better negotiators. However, lack of transparency leads to anxiety for both buyers and sellers

By John Engel In today’s Gospel, Jesus, sounding annoyed, says, “This is an evil generation, it seeks a sign.” It made me wonder what He would have said about this generation and about the New Canaan real estate market. In the month or so since Trump took office, in the

By John Engel  A Room With a View is the 1908 novel by E.M. Forster and a 1985 Merchant & Ivory film starring Helena Bonham Carter and Julian Sands. The novel opens in Florence with Lucy and her chaperone, Charlotte, complaining about their rooms at the Pensione Bertolini. They were

By John Engel Times of crisis, of disruption or constructive change, are not only predictable, but desirable. They mean growth. Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most.  — Fyodor Dostoevsky I’ve been thinking about datamining a lot these days, what it means and how

By John Engel New Canaan is going through its annual budget review. There are two parts to the budget: operating and capital. The Selectmen have recommended a School budget of $114 million, up 4.6%, and a Town budget of $43 million, up 4.3%. The town council will cut that further.

By John Engel Last week the Dallas Mavericks traded their 25-year-old star, Luka Dončić, one of the two best players in basketball, to the Los Angeles Lakers for “not much” compared to previous blockbuster NBA trades. Instead of calling multiple teams and asking for their best offer, they called one

By John Engel The power of demographics to explain our economy and the housing market is often understated. It may be the single biggest influence on current home prices. To understand real estate, take the growth of motorcycle sales between 1960 and 1974: 1960: 575,000 registered in the U.S. 1965:

By John Engel “The Brutalist” is the hottest movie in the nation, with 10 Oscar nominations. It’s currently playing in New Canaan and has deep New Canaan roots. Why should New Canaan care and what does it mean that Brutalism is part of the conversation in 2025 (named by Zillow

By John Engel Inauguration Day is a moment for looking forward, and for reflecting on the past. This is a look-back over the bigger ideas in this column, reexamining some, correcting others, knowing some points were better made the first time around. What did we learn?  65. 2024 Review. Despite

By John Engel As the father of identical twins I get the question, “Are they different?”  To me they are very different. To the casual observer not much. I feel that way about the end of year market report: Not much different from 2023. I find myself squinting hard to

By John Engel It snowed here this week, so I want to talk about the impact of snow (and reflected light) on real estate sales. Traditional wisdom is, wait for the snow to melt then launch the listing with beautiful spring photos. Let’s rethink that. The problem with this approach

By John Engel This week we explore timely Decision-Making and Commitment as we reflect on 2024 and set goals for 2025. December is when the phone rings. “What’s my house worth?” and “When should I list?” and “How can I prepare?” people ask. Sometimes the timing is not to our

By John Engel In the wake of the election the nation’s attention again turns to taxes. The Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2018 (TCJA) was the most significant tax change of the first Trump administration, profoundly affecting housing markets across the country. At the end of 2025 the TCJA

By John Engel Times of crisis, of disruption or constructive change, are not only predictable, but desirable. They mean growth. Taking a new step, uttering a new word, is what people fear most. -Fyodor Dostoevsky I’ve been thinking about datamining a lot these days, what it means and how it

By John Engel Past performance is often used as a warning label to caution against assuming an investment will continue to perform well in the future: “past performance is not a guarantee of future success.” But this is election week, the correlations are strong, and you can take my predictions

By John Engel Zillow, inventor of the controversial Zestimate, has rolled out a new “climate risk threat score” for every house in the country. Zillow gets their data from First Street which has been crunching numbers on climate risk for a decade. Redfin offers a similar tool, but Zillow’s version

By John Engel I read with interest in Good Morning Wilton the story of an historical building owned by the town of Wilton which has fallen into disrepair and is now evacuated, requiring a multimillion-dollar renovation. This is not a problem unique to Wilton. New Canaan tasked Penny Young and

By John Engel The New Canaan Housing Authority (a non-profit corporation) is attempting to purchase Avalon New Canaan, 9.1 acres, 10 buildings, 104 units, currently with only 7 vacancies starting at $4,030 per month (for a 2-bedroom)  Why the Housing Authority?  The New Canaan Housing Authority (HANC) has statutory authority

By John Engel It is October and that means it’s time to paint a picture of the Fairfield County real estate market through 9 months. I’ll compare New Canaan with peers Darien and Westport and include large-market Stamford as a contrasting baseline.  Median Sales Price – All Property Types –

  By John Engel We are facing an existential threat in New Canaan. No, I’m not talking about the annual drumbeat of laws from Hartford which strip away local control of our zoning and of our schools. I am talking about shutting down the New Canaan Multiple Listing Service. The

By John Engel Today I am speaking on a panel on industry changes. I am noticing more pressure on buyer’s agents from a number of directions. Sellers are asking if they can eliminate or reduce offers of compensation, probing for a better deal.  Buyers are approaching the listing agent directly.

By John Engel It is as if we began the Fall Season with a starter pistol on Labor Day. Buyers and sellers are feeling a newfound urgency to enter the market. Last week we listed an in-town renovated antique for $2.5 million. Over 30 groups made appointments last weekend and

By John Engel Homes for Sale. For the third month in a row the amount of inventory fell in New Canaan and continues to drop around Fairfield County. Darien and Wilton see single family home inventory consistently below 50 homes since late 2022 while New Canaan has been below 75

By John Engel We are at the long-awaited inflection point where the Fed reverses course and lowers rates. The stock and bond markets rallied this week on the news. A survey of big banks predicts 30-year rates between 6.5% and 6.7% in the fourth quarter. 15-year adjustables, already in the

By John Engel This week’s column is not really about showing a house. I am being both literal and metaphorical, relevant for those of you in another line of work. It’s about being purposeful in everything we do. I’ll begin with a story from the Army. Sergeant Cornelius had previously

By John Engel Pool construction is down 49% since peaking during the pandemic, 2021. And searches in Google for “swimming pool cost” is also down 40% since 2020, now at their lowest levels in a decade. Pool Corp estimates that the cost of a new pool nationally has risen 72%

By John Engel We looked at the stats for the first 6 months, comparing towns of similar size and wealth head to head in order to add some context. When we quote a number, it is a comparison with this time last year. These figures include houses, condos and co-ops.

By John Engel This week we’ll discuss discount points and assumable loans as two creative ways to approach your next real estate purchase. Purchasing discount points becomes more popular during periods of higher interest rates. It’s a strategy everyone should consider in this “higher-for-longer” environment. According to Zillow, nearly half

By John Engel New Canaan – There are 73 single-family homes for sale, a -15% drop since last year. Last year we peaked in May with 86 and two years ago we peaked in June with 95, a steady decline. The median sold price was $2.02 million across May’s 18

By John Engel This is a lost art. I am referring to the property description field on the multiple listing service. The New Canaan MLS limits agents to 500 characters while the SmartMLS allows 1500. Letting agents say three times as much does not seem to be making much of

By John Engel As we approach the end of the Spring market this is the point of the year when we appear to have the most amount of inventory, the crest of the inventory sine wave. That is because everything that is coming on is on, and those properties that